Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007012 0.007845 0.008754 0.009822 0.011046 0.012408 0.014046
2025-03-30 0.005884 0.007062 0.008457 0.010245 0.012493 0.015248 0.018916
2025-04-06 0.004963 0.006224 0.007799 0.009934 0.012786 0.016517 0.021851
2025-04-13 0.004321 0.005609 0.007285 0.009660 0.012997 0.017601 0.024591
2025-04-20 0.003913 0.005232 0.007012 0.009636 0.013488 0.019069 0.028021
2025-04-27 0.003690 0.005073 0.007001 0.009951 0.014468 0.021327 0.032941
2025-05-04 0.003406 0.004791 0.006779 0.009918 0.014903 0.022789 0.036797
2025-05-11 0.003189 0.004584 0.006638 0.009980 0.015474 0.024514 0.041338
2025-05-18 0.002960 0.004335 0.006407 0.009869 0.015738 0.025743 0.045176
2025-05-25 0.002812 0.004196 0.006330 0.009991 0.016396 0.027716 0.050698
2025-06-01 0.002639 0.004003 0.006149 0.009918 0.016696 0.029077 0.055242
2025-06-08 0.002429 0.003734 0.005822 0.009562 0.016448 0.029378 0.057663
2025-06-15 0.002290 0.003577 0.005678 0.009528 0.016822 0.030985 0.063306
2025-06-22 0.002241 0.003566 0.005779 0.009947 0.018110 0.034608 0.074232
2025-06-29 0.002077 0.003348 0.005504 0.009645 0.017949 0.035218 0.078256
2025-07-06 0.001935 0.003156 0.005262 0.009381 0.017830 0.035895 0.082583
2025-07-13 0.001841 0.003044 0.005152 0.009358 0.018203 0.037705 0.090193
2025-07-20 0.001802 0.003024 0.005206 0.009662 0.019306 0.041345 0.103565
2025-07-27 0.001720 0.002921 0.005099 0.009630 0.019669 0.043293 0.112697
2025-08-03 0.001656 0.002847 0.005040 0.009690 0.020243 0.045847 0.124276
2025-08-10 0.001577 0.002739 0.004908 0.009583 0.020415 0.047409 0.133204
2025-08-17 0.001529 0.002688 0.004883 0.009701 0.021137 0.050521 0.148008
2025-08-24 0.001464 0.002598 0.004775 0.009630 0.021389 0.052410 0.159251